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Drew Brees' Updated Fantasy Outlook in Week 4 Return

Fantasy Football
October 2, 2015

New Orleans Saints head coach Sean Payton announced Friday the team plans on starting quarterback Drew Brees in Sunday night’s contest against the Dallas Cowboys, per the team’s official Twitter account.

But should fantasy owners be starting him?

Probably not—at least not yet.

For starters, Brees likely won’t be 100 percent coming off of a shoulder injury, so you have to take that into consideration. There is always the risk he could reaggravate his injury and have a very short evening. While he was decent in the first two weeks for fantasy owners—610 passing yards, two touchdowns, two interceptions, 28 fantasy points—he wasn’t great.

If it was Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers coming off of an injury, you’d start him without second thought and take your chances because of his consistency and upside. But Brees simply hasn’t played to that level this season.

He’s also facing a Dallas defense that is giving up just 11.7 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks per week, which is fifth best in the NFL. Yes, Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan threw for 285 yards and two touchdowns against them last week, but Ryan and wide receiver Julio Jones have been basically unstoppable this season.

Brees and this Saints offense have been the opposite.

The counterargument, of course, is that you likely drafted Brees to be your starter, and you don’t have a better alternative in the pipeline, especially since Ben Roethlisberger and Tony Romo owners likely hit the waiver wire hard in recent weeks looking for quarterbacks. So you might not have a choice but to start Brees.

If you have a reliable QB2 who you feel confident will give you 15 or more fantasy points this week, however, that’s your best bet. Brees may hit the ground running and post huge numbers against the Cowboys in the Superdome, but there are enough risks to suggest sitting him, at least for one week.

All fantasy stats and points-against totals via ESPN standard leagues.

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Drew Brees

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