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Daily Fantasy Football October 2: DFS Stock Up, Stock Down

Fantasy Football
October 2, 2015

Daily fantasy football is a volatile game. Things change quickly, and you have to keep up if you want to make money.

Great performances can lead to more consistent play and bigger roles within an offense. An injury to a key player can impact everyone around him in either positive or negative ways. It’s important to stay on top of all the moves to see who is worthy of a spot on your roster and who should be avoided at all costs.

Although things can still change before you finalize your lineup Sunday, here is a look at the latest stock watch for key available players.

Stock Up

James Jones, WR, Green Bay Packers ($5,300)

Believe it or not, three touchdowns in his first two weeks back with the Packers was a slow start for James Jones. Now that he is once again comfortable with Aaron Rodgers, he can produce the type of numbers he did in Week 3 (seven catches, 139 yards and a touchdown) on a regular basis.

Jones became the No. 2 receiving option in the high-powered offense behind Randall Cobb after Davante Adams went down in the first possession of the game against the Kansas City Chiefs with an ankle injury. The second-year player doesn’t look likely to return for Week 4.

The result of Adams’ injury was the majority of targets going to the top two options and no one besides Cobb (12) and Jones (eight) getting more than four.

Considering the San Francisco 49ers are dead last in the league with 10 yards per pass allowed, the Packers could be set for a huge game through the air. Cobb remains a great choice, but Jones arguably gives you the most value.

Rueben Randle, WR, New York Giants ($4,500)

Consistency has always been a problem for Rueben Randle, so he isn’t guaranteed to repeat his seven-catch, 116-yard performance from Week 3. However, he has always had the ability, and the opportunity will still be there with Victor Cruz out against the Buffalo Bills, per Ralph Vacchiano of the New York Daily News:

The Giants have a lot of faith in Randle and love to get him involved, as evident by his 7.9 average targets per game last season, including seven weeks with double digits. He also clearly played a big role in the team’s lone win of this season against the Washington Redskins in Week 3.

After the team released Preston Parker, it is running out of options besides Odell Beckham Jr.

Randle will be heavily involved Sunday and has a chance to put up big numbers against a solid Buffalo Bills defense.

Karlos Williams, RB, Buffalo Bills ($3,400)

LeSean McCoy will be the starter when he is completely healthy, but head coach Rex Ryan doesn’t have a lot of faith he will be ready in Week 4, via ESPN’s Mike Rodak:

This provides a great opportunity for Karlos Williams, who scored a touchdown and finished with 110 rushing yards on 12 carries against the Miami Dolphins. He has gotten into the end zone in each of his three games, but it was too risky to put him in your lineup. With McCoy out of the way, that is no longer the case.

Williams might have been a fifth-round pick in the 2015 draft, but he has the opportunity to show he is among the best in the class. In an offense that loves to run the ball, the rookie could be set for a true breakout game.

Stock Down

Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts ($7,800)

When you pay a top price for a quarterback, you are expecting someone who will easily score 20 points per game with the chance of much more. This is what Aaron Rodgers gives you each week, but Andrew Luck hasn’t lived up to his price tag to this point.

The Colts quarterback has thrown multiple interceptions in each game and has failed to top 20 points on DraftKings in any game as a result. With ESPN.com’s Mike Wells now reporting a shoulder injury, Luck seems like too much of a risk even if he suits up.

If you aren’t splurging for Rodgers, you might as well save money on cheaper options at the position.

C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos ($5,900)

Time seems to be running out for C.J. Anderson to become the star many expected this season. Sure, he has dealt with various injuries that have limited him in 2015, but he doesn’t even look like the same running back who carried fantasy teams in the second half of last year.

The biggest problem has been the offensive line, which has provided limited space in the run game. Ronnie Hillman hasn’t been too much better in his chances, averaging just 3.1 yards per carry. Pro Football Focus rates the Broncos as the sixth-worst run-blocking unit in the NFL to this point.

With Anderson likely continuing to split carries with Hillman behind the struggling offensive line, the chances of success going forward are not great.

The running back is worthy of holding onto in season-long leagues, but in daily fantasy you can just avoid him until he proves himself.

Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions ($5,300)

There are serious problems with the Detroit Lions offense that have led to an 0-3 start. Golden Tate explained to Detroit Sports 105.1 that the team might be tipping plays:

I’ve had a couple occasions in literally each game, where they called out our play for one, then afterwards been like “hey, we knew what you guys were doing”. I don’t know how they know or what film they’re watching that we’re giving away…that’s something we got to go back and watch our tendencies to figure out where we line up or how we line up or what formation or whatever it may be. We’ve got to figure it out because we’re clearly giving away. All three weeks, a player’s come up to me and said “we knew what you were going to do.” That’s bad.

To make matters worse, this week’s matchup is on the road against the tough Seattle Seahawks defense. With Calvin Johnson clearly still the No. 1 option, Tate is relegated to being a No. 2 receiver against one of the best pass defenses in the NFL.

Even if things were going well in Detroit, Tate’s chances of success would not be high.

Although at first glance this seems like great value for a player who starred for points-per-reception leagues last season, you should stay away from the high-risk, low-reward player for Week 4.

Note: All prices and fantasy scoring info courtesy of DraftKings. Unless otherwise noted, all stats courtesy of Pro-Football-Reference.com.

DraftKings is giving away over $10 million in Week 4 of the NFL season. Use this knowledge to help you win some of that cash. The biggest first-place prize ever at $2 million will be awarded. Play now for free at DraftKings.com.

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