Baseball GPPs are predictable only in the sense that you can get a rough idea of who is going to be owned. Pitchers facing strikeout prone teams with low run lines will be owned, and hitters with good splits and a high run line will be owned. There are some other important factors that go into determining which stacks will be owned, and now let’s discuss what you can do in terms of finding some of the more solid contrarian ones. POSITIONAL SCARCITY In baseball, the C/2B/SS positions generally have a handful of very skilled batters with a dramatic dropoff after that. Therefore, ownership at the catcher position is fairly easy to predict, especially if you spot catchers that: Are batting high in the order Have a favorable run line, price, or matchup If all of these factors are present, that catcher will be mega chalk, and generally I think it’s a pretty big mistake to own the chalky catcher, even more so than a chalk 2B/SS. The reason for this is that catchers are extremely volatile, and don’t steal bases, which lot of 2B/SS are capable of. The reality is it’s very likely that the best catcher on the
