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Tom Brady vs Carson Wentz? NFL MVP Futures

Betting on Football
November 8, 2017

Carson Wentz has gone from an NFL MVP dark horse at +10,000 during the summer to being second favorite behind Tom Brady. The Philadelphia Eagles quarterback is now listed at +300, while rival Brady is a mere +200 after week 9 of the NFL season.

Carson Wentz for MVP

Wentz has the Eagles off to an 8-1 start; which is the best record in the NFL. Philadelphia has already won more games than it did in 2015 and 2016. Meanwhile, Wentz has already thrown more touchdowns (23) than he did all of last season (16). His 23 touchdowns leads the league. In addition, he has thrown for 2,262 yards (fourth in the NFL) and just five interceptions.

Wentz’s quarterback rating is 104.1, which is slightly lower than Brady’s 106.5. However, it is easy to argue that the Eagles turnaround has a lot to do with Wentz’s improved play. Therefore, the MVP award should be going to Philadelphia, if the Eagles can keep up their great play.

The Road ahead for Carson Wentz

The Eagles only loss came at Arrowhead Stadium against the Kansas City Chiefs. That loss came in week 2. Seven straight wins have followed, but the Eagles now face several tough games ahead. Philadelphia will have a bye this week before taking on Dallas November 20th. It is the first of two games against the Cowboys that Philadelphia must still play.

There is also games against the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams to come. Wentz needs to keep up his solid play and keep the Eagles winning, if he hopes to overtake the man that has been labelled the “greatest quarterback of all-time”.

Many have expected Wentz to fall away after starting so well. Yet, he has continued with one great performance after another. In week 9 against the Broncos, Wentz tossed another four touchdowns in one game. He has now thrown four touchdowns in three games this season.

Top 5 NFL MVP futures bets

  • Tom Brady +200
  • Carson Wentz +300
  • Alex Smith +500
  • Russell Wilson +700
  • Drew Brees +1600


After such a great start to the NFL season, ZCode System’s Power Rankings have the Eagles as the top team in the league. It is a position the team has been holding on to for a few weeks now. The Eagles are burning hot, and much of that has to do with the out of this world play of Wentz.

Wentz doesn’t have to get the Eagles into the Super Bowl to be crowned MVP. Sure, it could help, but his play during the regular season has completely turned around the franchise. Remember, Philadelphia won just seven games in 2016.


ZCode System’s Playoff Simulator doesn’t have the Eagles winning the Super Bowl right now. However, it does have Wentz leading the team into the NFC Championship Game. Interestingly, the simulator does have a Super Bowl match up of the Kansas City Chiefs and former cross state rivals the LA Rams.

If the Eagles continue to win, and the way they are playing they should, then there is no reason Wentz shouldn’t be NFL MVP. Which means there is no reason bettors shouldn’t back him to knockoff Brady for the award.

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