Our anti public smart strategy works like charm!
We went 2-1 ATS in Week 7 which improves our YTD to 15-6. Let’s see if we can keep it going with a few potential plays for Week 8. The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Wednesday (10/25) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.
OAKLAND @ BUFFALO
The Raiders had a huge win last week over Kansas City and the public took notice.
Oakland snapped a 4 game losing streak to win last week and now must go on the road after 3 straight home games. The Bills are undefeated at home and looking to continue a strong start to their season. This is a game they need to win and I expect a big effort. Let’s take Buffalo -2.5 (Bookmaker)
ATLANTA @ NEW YORK JETS
The public has a hard time remembering 2017 is not 2016.
Atlanta is a mess offensively and looking nothing like they did last season on their Super Bowl run. The Jets suffered a brutal loss last week and there will be a sense of urgency to play a complete game this week. Let’s take New York +4.5 (5Dimes)
DALLAS @ WASHINGTON
Dallas looked great against San Francisco last week and the public liked what they saw.
Dallas is riding high but this is a must win for Washington. We should expect max effort from the Redskins while playing at home versus a divisional rival. Let’s take Washington +2 (BetOnline)
Like I mentioned, we have a few days until these games take place with lots of wagering in between so keeping an eye on the lines and percentages throughout the week is important. Fading the public is very successful when the public side is 80%+ so keep that in mind as the week progresses and the betting volume grows.
Like all sports investing, this strategy is most effective over the course of an entire season. Use consistent money management and stick to the plan in order to maximize profit. As always, using ZCode’s Line Reversals Tool is a great way to stay on top of all the action.
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