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Fantasy Football Week 13 Rankings: Guide for Top Players and Sleepers

Fantasy Football
December 2, 2015

Week 13 of the fantasy football season might be the most exciting offering yet.

A showdown between the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football certainly figures to start things off with a bang as Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford dish to some of the most explosive weapons in the game.

The divisional showdown is just the beginning, too, with plenty of heavyweight encounters on the slate, making for a profitable time for owners.

Below, let’s sort through the chaos and amass rankings while looking at the top players and hinting at a few sleepers.

 

Week 13 Schedule

 

Quarterbacks

Cam Newton is about to go off.

Of course, owners know the Carolina Panthers signal-caller has the ability, especially after a 30-point outburst in Week 11. For those counting, he’s now at double digits in every game this year, with nine trips above 15 points.

Newton might hit a new season high this week, though. Thank an encounter with the New Orleans Saints, the team surrendering the most points to quarterbacks on average—an average almost four points higher than the next team.

Don’t forget, too, that Newton already pasted these Saints for 29 points in Week 3. Any hope a divisional rival can figure him out and slow him down doesn’t exist.

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles looks like a viable streaming option this week, too. He’s the owner of 15 or more points eight times this year in a surprisingly fantasy-friendly offense.

It is important to point out, though, that Bortles struggled to nine points in a Week 11 encounter with the Tennessee Titans. Understand it’s an anomaly, though, as Bortles went on to score 22 the next week and Tennessee coughed up 23 the next week, too.

Bortles will be back to his usual self for this matchup against a defense that has let up multiple passing touchdowns seven times.

 

Running Backs

The Muscle Hamster, or whatever in the world Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Doug Martin wants to be called these days, is set for a huge performance.

Fantasy’s third-highest scorer at running back has an encounter against the Atlanta Falcons, a team he mustered seven points against earlier this year. Atlanta, though, has done nothing short of fall off the proverbial cliff and now allows the fourth-most points to backs this season.

This makes Martin one of the week’s surefire heavy hitters with his team in playoff contention, so a floor in the neighborhood of 10 points while the Buccaneers attempt to keep the Atlanta offense off the field makes sense.

Like it or not, Jeremy Hill of the Cincinnati Bengals falls under the “sleeper” category these days. He’s made it to double digits just three times this year, with six trips to single digits and even a trip into the negatives.

Hill watched as his season derailed with two early-season fumbles and complement Giovani Bernard began to handle the workload. In recent weeks, though, Hill has carried the ball 13 or more times over his past two games, going for 16 and nine points. Last week was a season-high 86 rushing yards to go with a season-high average, so the arrow points up.

This is especially the case against the Cleveland Browns, a team that ranks a few spots below the Falcons. Opportunities equal production, which Hill is about to boast in a big way.

 

Wide Receivers

Chicago Bears wideout Alshon Jeffery hasn’t been able to stay healthy this year, but when he’s on the field he might be the best in the game.

Through rough circumstances and injuries, Jeffery has been able to cobble together three double-digit outings in sporadic playing time as well as post nine points with seven grabs for 90 yards last week in his return.

As Zach Zaidman of WSCR 670 pointed out, few do what Jeffery does:

Now imagine what Jeffery can do against the San Francisco 49ers, the team allowing the ninth-most points to wideouts. In fact, the 49ers have coughed up a 20-point minimum to wideouts eight times this season, a total it wouldn’t be too ridiculous to see Jeffery flirt with if he can find paydirt.

As far as sleepers go at such a deep position, keep an eye out on Kamar Aiken of the Baltimore Ravens.

Aiken might not have Joe Flacco tossing him passes, but he’s got a touchdown in each of his past two games to go with two of this three double-digit performances this year.

Expect the good trend to continue for Aiken, who next gets a shot at the Miami Dolphins. The team from down south surrenders the seventh-most points to the position and just allowed four touchdowns to wideouts its last time out, making it six over its last two games.

 

Tight Ends

One has to stick with Newton’s favorite target when talking about top players.

Folks know him as Greg Olsen, one of fantasy’s most consistent performers at the position with his five trips to double digits this season. He might be the surest factor of the week against the Saints, the team allowing the most points to the spot.

Just for fun’s sake, recall that Olsen posted his highest point total of the year back in Week 3 on eight catches for 134 yards and two scores, good for 25 points, against these Saints.

While Coby Fleener of the Indianapolis Colts has yet to explode, his 31 percent of owners might benefit this week from a game against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Steelers allow the fifth-most points to the position this year and have coughed up two touchdowns over their past three games. With Matt Hasselbeck under center, Fleener should see plenty of chances to post his highest point total of the season.

 

Defense/Special Teams

As always, the Arizona Cardinals sit as one of fantasy’s top options this week. 

Fresh off an eight-point showing, the Cardinals next get to take on the St. Louis Rams. Whether it’s Case Keenum or Nick Foles under center doesn’t matter; the Rams will turn the ball over, and the offense comes off a week in which Todd Gurley mustered just 19 rushing yards. 

Keep a close eye on the Bengals, too. They would be the unit that held Gurley to 19 yards, and a matchup against the Cleveland Browns is, well, a matchup against the Cleveland Browns.

 

Kickers

Consistency would be the name of the game at kicker, which is what makes Newton’s teammate Graham Gano so attractive this week.

Gano has seven double-digit outings this year, including five in a row. He too got in on the double-digit action against the Saints earlier this season and will do so again.

As far as sleepers go, Cairo Santos of the Kansas City Chiefs only sits at a 41.6 ownership percentage despite resting as fantasy’s third-highest scorer at the spot.

Santos is a little unstable with four double-digit outings, but when he breaks the barrier, he explodes—hence two outings of 20 or more points. A third looks in the cards against an Oakland Raiders defense that surrenders the second-most points to kickers.

 

All scoring info courtesy of ESPN standard leagues, as is points-against info and ownership stats as of December 1.

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Week 13 Waiver-Wire Pickups: Best Fantasy Sleepers to Target on ESPN and Yahoo

Fantasy Football
December 2, 2015

Desperation time in the fantasy football season often leads to desperation with your lineup. Although this isn’t ideal, there are always ways to survive.

Whether you need immediate help to plug and play in Week 13 or are just trying to get a head start on potential sleepers for the playoffs, there are still plenty of options that might have been overlooked by others in your league. David Johnson, Scott Chandler and Alex Smith might have been the top options on the waiver wire this week, but even if you missed on these guys, you can still succeed.

Here is a look at some players who can help you out this week and beyond, all of whom are available in at least 70 percent of ESPN and Yahoo leagues.

 

 

Brock Osweiler, QB, Denver Broncos

Although he hasn’t put up huge fantasy numbers in his first two starts, Brock Osweiler has been impressive in a pair of wins for the Denver Broncos. He has thrown for at least 250 yards in each game and is looking good doing it, as noted by Steve Palazzolo of Pro Football Focus:

Meanwhile, Nerdy Football’s Matt Miller was also impressed by the quarterback’s poise:

The run game was certainly a big part of the success in the upset win over the New England Patriots, but Osweiler made big plays when needed and showed he can handle the starting job. This was also in a game where Demaryius Thomas had one of the worst performances of his career.

Looking forward, the Broncos’ schedule certainly eases up over the next few weeks. The San Diego Chargers have struggled mightily on the defensive end this year, while the Oakland Raiders and Pittsburgh Steelers have plenty of question marks in the secondary.

If Osweiler gets a chance to retain his job, he could be a factor in fantasy for the rest of the season.

 

Terrance West, RB, Baltimore Ravens

When you get this deep down the list, there aren’t going to be any starting running backs available on the free-agent list. The best you can hope for is a quality handcuff who would be great after an injury to the starter, or a backup who could see an expanded role in a good matchup.

The latter is a good description of Terrance West, who had seven carries for 37 yards in his debut for the Baltimore Ravens. Javorius “Buck” Allen has gotten the first crack at the starting job with Justin Forsett out for the year, but it’s clear West will have a role if he keeps up his solid play.

Head coach John Harbaugh was quick to praise both running backs after the game. 

“I think they both showed they’re capable of being top-notch NFL running backs,” Harbaugh said of Allen and West, per Garrett Downing of BaltimoreRavens.com. “I thought they both did a good job.”

While the Cleveland Browns aren’t exactly the toughest matchup for an opposing running back, they are actually no longer the worst run defense in football. That honor now goes to the Miami Dolphins, which happen to face the Ravens in Week 13. West and Allen can both keep up their solid performances, and West certainly has a chance to take over with a breakout game.

 

DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins

According to Rand Getlin of NFL Network, Dolphins starting receiver Rishard Matthews could miss extended time with multiple broken ribs. This could lead to a lot more playing time for DeVante Parker, who took advantage of the starter’s absence in Week 12, per Adam Levitan of DraftKings:

Parker made these snaps count with four catches for 80 yards and his first career touchdown. He also was targeted 10 times by Ryan Tannehill.

As the No. 14 overall pick in the 2015 draft, the talent is obviously there for Parker. A foot injury limited him in training camp and he never quite got caught up, causing him to stay hidden on the depth chart. However, this opportunity could finally give him a chance to show what he can do.

Jarvis Landry is still the top dog in Miami, but against a poor Ravens secondary, Parker has a chance to build off the best game of his career and put in some more big numbers.

 

Vance McDonald, TE, San Francisco 49ers

The most important factor for a good fantasy tight end is usage rate. Obviously talent and quarterback play help, but getting involved in the offense is a big key to putting up consistent stats.

Vance McDonald has gotten this chance over the past few weeks with Blaine Gabbert at the helm.

The former second-round pick got a boost in playing time after Vernon Davis was traded midseason. He finally scored his first career touchdown in Week 11 against the Seattle Seahawks, finishing with four catches for 65 yards and the score. He then built on that performance with six catches for 71 yards and another touchdown in Week 12. Only Anquan Boldin had more than McDonald’s seven targets.

Although the third-year player isn’t going to wow you with his play, Gabbert now clearly trusts him, and this could lead to more yards and scores in the future. 

 

Follow Rob Goldberg on Twitter for all your fantasy football and daily fantasy needs.

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Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Week 13: Flex, PPR Advice for Fringe Fantasy Football Stars</div>

Fantasy Football
December 2, 2015

The pressure is now on as the fantasy football regular seasons comes to a close. If you don’t have your best lineups possible, your year could be over before you know it.

With the bye weeks now in the past, you have plenty of options for every spot on your team. Unfortunately, more choices only makes the decision-making process that much tougher. Instead of going crazy, just follow the latest trends and matchups to get the most potential points from your squad.

No one can predict the future, but here is some advice to help you out in Week 13. 

 

Start ‘Em

C.J. Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos

He has certainly been a disappointment for fantasy owners who drafted him in the first two rounds, but C.J. Anderson might finally be ready to provide some value. The running back finished with 153 yards from scrimmage in Week 12 with two touchdowns, including the game-winner in overtime.

Troy Renck of the Denver Post provided the outlook going forward:

With Brock Osweiler, the Broncos are finally utilizing the Gary Kubiak system that didn’t really mesh well with Peyton Manning. All of a sudden, the rushing attack is working well and Anderson is living up to the hype he had before the start of the season.

Against a San Diego Chargers defense allowing the most fantasy points to opposing running backs, per ESPN, Anderson has a chance for another big game.

 

Brandon LaFell, WR, New England Patriots

The last three weeks has seen Brandon LaFell produce only 15 points total in standard leagues. He hasn’t gotten into the end zone and has failed to top four catches in any games in this stretch.

However, Tom Brady is running out of players to throw the ball to in this high-powered offense. Wide receivers Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola have already missed time, while ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports tight end Rob Gronkowski is expected to miss Week 13.

This leaves tight end Scott Chandler, LaFell and little else to catch passes from arguably the best quarterback in the NFL. As a result, the upside for a huge game remains high, especially against a struggling secondary like that of the Philadelphia Eagles.

 

PPR: Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions

After disappearing for about a month, Golden Tate is back on the radar with two strong games in a row. Although he isn’t putting up huge yardage totals, he has 15 catches on 19 targets over the last two weeks.

The team is also doing a good job getting him involved in a variety of ways, like on this touchdown pass:

While most of the focus will be on Calvin Johnson after his three-touchdown game on Thanksgiving, Tate can remain under the radar and continue to rack up the catches, really helping those in point-per-reception leagues.

 

Sit ‘Em

Frank Gore, RB, Indianapolis Colts

Although he is expected to play Sunday, even Frank Gore’s head coach doesn’t believe he is completely healthy. Chuck Pagano was blunt in his assessment after the latest game, per Zak Keefer of the Indianapolis Star:

This isn’t exactly the most encouraging statement for a coach.

The 32-year-old running back got off to a good start to the year but has really struggled lately. Over the last two games, Gore has only 58 total rushing yards on 33 carries, good for 1.8 per attempt. He also only has one touchdown in the past six games.

Against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that has allowed the fewest points to opposing running backs, Gore should remain on your bench.

 

James Jones, WR, Green Bay Packers

Few players have likely frustrated fantasy owners more than James Jones over the past few weeks. He has been on the field for the Packers, but the production has fluctuated greatly:

Obviously, the chance of a big game is there, although it would be a huge risk putting him in your lineup when you could just as easily end up with a goose egg.

Meanwhile, the Lions defense has improved tremendously since the start of the year. The team followed up its Week 9 bye by allowing just 14.3 points per game during a three-game win streak. This will likely keep the Packers offense in check, with Jones staying quiet as well.

 

PPR: Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland Raiders

Only once over the last six games has Latavius Murray caught more than two passes. He has become mostly a run-only player who has little extra value in PPR leagues.

Of course, Murray hasn’t been great in standard leagues lately, either. Between inefficient running and a struggle getting into the end zone, the Raiders running back is averaging only 7.8 fantasy points over the last eight games. He hasn’t reached double digits since Week 8.

Derek Carr has kept the Oakland offense alive in recent weeks, but Murray hasn’t helped out much on the ground. This isn’t likely to change against a tough Kansas City Chiefs defensive front.

 

Fantasy scoring information courtesy of ESPN

 

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Fantasy Football Week 13 Cheat Sheet, Rankings Guide and Waiver Projections

Fantasy Football
December 1, 2015

It’s time to give Brian Hoyer his due with the Houston Texans.

The quarterback does not get a lot of respect around the league or even from his own coaches, but the time has come to give him credit for helping to turn Houston’s season around.

Hoyer, you may remember, was featured prominently in the HBO Hard Knocks series this summer because he was in a battle for the starting position with Ryan Mallett. Head coach Bill O’Brien and his staff eventually came to the conclusion that Hoyer was the man worthy of the starting position because he was a bit more thorough, competent and responsible than Mallett.

Hoyer won the battle because he had the edges over his rival in a number of areas, but those edges were slim. 

Apparently, O’Brien was not overly impressed with Hoyer because he pulled him in a Week 1 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs and inserted Mallet into the lineup.

That move did nothing for Houston’s offense and Hoyer eventually took back the starting job and Mallett ended up being cut after he missed a team flight for a road game.

Hoyer may not have had a lot of support from O’Brien, but he is getting the job done under center. He has completed 162-of-264 passes for 1,909 yards with a 15-5 TD-interception ratio. While the Texans have played 11 games, Hoyer has played in just eight and that’s why his yardage and TD stats are somewhat underwhelming.

But he has established a strong leadership role in recent weeks and the Texans have won four games in a row. He has a wonderful rapport with DeAndre Hopkins, who has caught 81 balls for 1,081 yards and nine scores, and he is clearly one of the league’s dominant receivers.

Hoyer and the Texans visit the Buffalo Bills this week, and he should be able to take advantage of the 21st-ranked pass defense in the league. He is an impressive waiver-wire pickup for Week 13.

 

RB Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks

As Marshawn Lynch goes, so goes the Seahawks.

That may have been the case for years, but that’s no longer the way it is. Lynch is out for the next few weeks after undergoing sports hernia surgery, and that means undrafted rookie Thomas Rawls is the man in the Seattle backfield.

Since Lynch has had a number of nagging injuries prior to undergoing surgery, Rawls has had several opportunities to show what he can do in the NFL. He has passed every test to this point, and he appears to be an excellent addition to any fantasy football team that does not have Adrian Peterson as its No. 1 running back.

Rawls may be in the process of erasing the word backup from all of his references. It may be difficult for Pete Carroll to take him out of the starting lineup from this point forward, because Rawls does not run like a tentative rookie. He runs with confidence.

Rawls is the Seahawks leading rusher with 122 carries for 685 yards and three touchdowns. He has a 5.6 yards per carry average and he has six runs of 20 yards or more. 

Lynch may have been the heart and soul of this team, but his numbers have been impacted by his injuries. He has 111 carries for 417 yards and three scores, and his 3.8 YPC mark pales in comparison to Rawls.

Lynch is 29-years-old and has nine hard years of competition under his belt, and that will make it difficult for any running back to stay healthy and produce consistently in the years to come.  

The Seahawks may have a hard decision to make in the future as far as Lynch is concerned. In the meantime, you can pick up Rawls and feel quite good about that decision.

 

WR Jeremy Maclin, Kansas City Chiefs

There was a long period of time when the idea of putting a Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver in your fantasy lineup was the equivalent of waving the white flag and giving up on your season.

That time came to an end just a few weeks ago. For years, the Chiefs tried to get by with a mediocre Dwayne Bowe as their No. 1 receiver.

That did not work out and he was signed by the Cleveland Browns in the offseason. It has not been a good investment for Cleveland.

But the Chiefs made a very smart move by signing Jeremy Maclin. The former Philadelphia Eagle has taken some time to fit into his new surroundings, but he is getting better every week. Maclin has caught 57-772-3 this season and he is rapidly becoming quarterback Alex Smith’s best downfield target.

Maclin is coming off a monster game in Week 12 in which he caught nine passes for 160 yards and a touchdown against the Buffalo Bills. This week, Maclin gets a chance to exploit the Oakland Raiders’ secondary. The Raiders rank 27th in passing yards allowed. 

Look for Maclin to soar past the 100-yard mark and get into the end zone at least once. He needs to be in your fantasy lineup.

 

 

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Week 13 Waiver Wire: Projecting Best Adds, Drops and Future Handcuffs

Fantasy Football
December 1, 2015

We are approaching the home stretch of the fantasy football season, so you better make sure you have the best players possible to lead you into the playoffs and beyond.

Although there isn’t a lot of time to turn around a struggling team, there are always small upgrades to be had on the waiver wire if you know where to look. You can even get ahead of the game by grabbing a few speculative adds with high upside for the rest of the season.

Here is a look at the best options for each category heading into Week 13. All players listed are available in over 50 percent of ESPN leagues.

 

 

Alex Smith, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

Although he isn’t usually considered a fantasy weapon, Alex Smith has played some of his best football lately. The quarterback has now gone eight games without throwing an interception and, perhaps more surprisingly, has shown the ability to throw the ball deep down the field:

Smith has even showcased his athleticism in recent weeks with four games in a row with at least 30 rushing yards, totaling 179 yards and a touchdown on the ground in this stretch. With legitimate weapons in Jeremy Maclin, Travis Kelce and whoever is at running back, Smith has shown the ability to put up quality fantasy numbers.

The remaining schedule is also extremely favorable, with two games against the Oakland Raiders plus matchups against the San Diego Chargers, Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens. Aside from the Chargers, each of these teams has well-below-average secondaries, while even San Diego has its question marks.

Considering he only once failed to reach 13 fantasy points in standard leagues this season, you don’t have a whole lot to lose.

 

David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Fantasy football remains all about opportunity, and David Johnson appears to have a good one with the Arizona Cardinals. Head coach Bruce Arians provided the latest injury report on his team after Week 12, including injuries to running backs Chris Johnson and Andre Ellington, via Darren Urban:

Jay Glazer of Fox Sports noted that the Johnson injury is especially serious:

Although a lot of information needs to be sorted through, David Johnson is worth an immediate pickup in all fantasy leagues. If he does start, he will immediately enter one of the top offenses in the NFL behind an offensive line that has cleared some big running lanes this year.

Of course, Johnson does have plenty of talent in his own right. The 6’1″, 224-pound rookie has the ideal combination of size and speed to be a factor at this level and has already turned it into seven touchdowns this year (three rushing, three receiving, one kickoff return).

If he can get a full workload against the St. Louis Rams, Johnson could have a big game.

 

Dontrelle Inman, WR, San Diego Chargers

There were plenty of surprising performances at receiver last week, which makes players like Doug Baldwin, Markus Wheaton and others likely to be priority pickups this week. Baldwin has the best chance of the bunch to keep up his production, although none of them are likely to replicate their recent showings.

However, Dontrelle Inman might be worth an immediate pickup, despite his being a bit overlooked.

The second-year receiver finished last game with five catches on nine targets for 65 yards, all of which were second on the team behind Stevie Johnson. He also scored his second touchdown on the season.

With Philip Rivers leading the No. 2 passing attack in the NFL, there are clearly a lot of yards to go around on this team. The good news for Inman is there are few established, healthy targets. Johnson and Antonio Gates will likely get the first looks, but there is still plenty of opportunity for the young receiver to make himself known in the coming weeks.

Perhaps the most interesting player to keep an eye on is rookie receiver DeVante Parker. The first-round pick has done very little this season but finally got an opportunity with Rishard Matthews injured, as noted by Adam Levitan of DraftKings:

Parker turned this chance into four catches for 80 yards and his first career touchdown. If he can remain part of the offense as the Miami Dolphins close out a disappointing season, he could provide some serious fantasy value.

New England Patriots Brandon Bolden and Keshawn Martin have potential for big games going forward, although it is always difficult to judge usage rate on a Bill Belichick team. Martin only officially had one target last game but could easily end up with 10 next week in a better matchup.

Running backs like Bilal Powell, Jay Ajayi and Jerick McKinnon will struggle to get opportunities in the immediate future, but any injuries to starters will potentially make them elite fantasy options.

 

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